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So the best way to read through this is the fact once we are down below 20% over the X-axis (below twenty% water during the oil), There exists zero around the y-axis (the drinking water will likely not circulation in the rock in any way). As we get above 20% drinking water saturation, the stream of water raises promptly, until previously mentioned eighty% h2o, there isn't any stream of oil whatsoever.
Euan has questioned irrespective of whether an increase in water Slice similar to this might have a sizable ample influence on production to explain every one of the declines we see. Allow me to test to make an estimate on how huge it could be. We are unable to make this happen with any precision through the fractional move curve simply because we don't have an exact fractional movement curve for this Portion of Ghawar. Even so, There may be other details in Paper #93439 which allows us estimate this. In particular, the paper consists of a discussion of what portion of generation arises from driving the flood front, vs . in front of the flood front.
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